← FeedBoardPredictionsAnalysisPortfolioFundRisk2026-10-23 12:11 PM

Risk Model

9 positions · 60-day correlation window · 30-day volatility

Regime

Low correlation
Avg pairwise: 0.34

Portfolio VaR (1d, 95%%)

$2,653
3.10% of NAV · Ann. vol 29.9%

Data depth

49 days
1/19 tickers with 60+ days

Volatility & risk contribution

TickerAnn. volRisk contributionRisk adj.
CEG58.6%
21.2%
0.73x
VST59.1%
20.4%
0.72x
ETN41.3%
13.7%
1.03x
PWR42.2%
12.9%
1.02x
LEU68.9%
12.9%
0.65x
CLF75.8%
9.6%
0.62x
GEV51.7%
9.3%
0.82x
SCCO35.9%
1.9%
1.25x
ISRG25.7%
-2.1%
1.50x

Highest correlated pairs

PairCorrelationFactor
CEG / VST0.88same factor
ETN / GEV0.85same factor
GEV / PWR0.84same factor
ETN / PWR0.82same factor
GEV / VST0.64cross-factor
CEG / PWR0.63cross-factor
PWR / VST0.63cross-factor
CEG / GEV0.62cross-factor
ETN / VST0.60cross-factor
CEG / ETN0.59cross-factor

Position correlation (60-day rolling)

CEG
VST
ETN
PWR
LEU
CLF
GEV
SCCO
ISRG
CEG
1.00
0.88
0.59
0.63
0.57
0.30
0.62
0.33
-0.24
VST
0.88
1.00
0.60
0.63
0.57
0.28
0.64
0.43
-0.24
ETN
0.59
0.60
1.00
0.82
0.46
0.35
0.85
0.47
-0.27
PWR
0.63
0.63
0.82
1.00
0.32
0.24
0.84
0.41
-0.24
LEU
0.57
0.57
0.46
0.32
1.00
0.16
0.35
0.57
-0.25
CLF
0.30
0.28
0.35
0.24
0.16
1.00
0.35
0.36
-0.03
GEV
0.62
0.64
0.85
0.84
0.35
0.35
1.00
0.46
-0.40
SCCO
0.33
0.43
0.47
0.41
0.57
0.36
0.46
1.00
-0.22
ISRG
-0.24
-0.24
-0.27
-0.24
-0.25
-0.03
-0.40
-0.22
1.00

Factor correlation

Nuclear & fuel
Grid & power equipment
Materials
Data-center hardware
AI data-center power
Distributed power & solar
Robotics
Nuclear & fuel
1.00
0.68
0.62
0.55
0.59
0.61
-0.25
Grid & power equipment
0.68
1.00
0.53
0.82
0.65
0.57
-0.32
Materials
0.62
0.53
1.00
0.52
0.64
0.45
-0.17
Data-center hardware
0.55
0.82
0.52
1.00
0.71
0.70
-0.33
AI data-center power
0.59
0.65
0.64
0.71
1.00
0.62
-0.23
Distributed power & solar
0.61
0.57
0.45
0.70
0.62
1.00
-0.37
Robotics
-0.25
-0.32
-0.17
-0.33
-0.23
-0.37
1.00

Method. Rolling 60-day pairwise correlations, 30-day annualized volatility. Parametric VaR at 95% confidence (normal assumption). Risk adjustments: inverse-vol * correlation penalty (high vol or high avg correlation with the book lowers the multiplier). Factor correlations use equal-weighted factor returns. History from Yahoo Finance chart API.