← FeedBoardPredictionsAnalysisPortfolioFundRisk2026-08-17 7:15 PM

Risk Model

14 positions · 60-day correlation window · 30-day volatility

Regime

Moderate
Avg pairwise: 0.41

Portfolio VaR (1d, 95%%)

$3,601
3.87% of NAV · Ann. vol 37.3%

Data depth

49 days
1/19 tickers with 60+ days

Volatility & risk contribution

TickerAnn. volRisk contributionRisk adj.
ETN59.4%
11.9%
0.97x
LEU90.0%
10.6%
0.65x
CLF109.3%
10.2%
0.56x
PWR54.9%
9.9%
1.09x
SCCO56.8%
9.8%
1.03x
CEG39.2%
9.3%
1.50x
IREN109.2%
6.2%
0.55x
TLN59.9%
6.2%
0.99x
GEV58.1%
5.5%
1.04x
WULF89.2%
4.5%
0.70x
FSLR50.6%
4.4%
1.16x
VRT74.4%
4.3%
0.81x
VST46.5%
4.0%
1.32x
FCX59.7%
3.2%
0.97x

Highest correlated pairs

PairCorrelationFactor
FCX / SCCO0.89same factor
ETN / PWR0.85same factor
TLN / VST0.80same factor
CEG / TLN0.75same factor
GEV / VRT0.72cross-factor
ETN / FCX0.70cross-factor
CLF / ETN0.66cross-factor
FCX / FSLR0.64cross-factor
FCX / LEU0.63cross-factor
CLF / FCX0.63same factor

Position correlation (60-day rolling)

ETN
LEU
CLF
PWR
SCCO
CEG
IREN
TLN
GEV
WULF
FSLR
VRT
ETN
1.00
0.58
0.66
0.85
0.52
0.51
0.47
0.41
0.60
0.12
0.63
0.56
LEU
0.58
1.00
0.36
0.37
0.63
0.39
0.47
0.42
0.53
0.43
0.55
0.55
CLF
0.66
0.36
1.00
0.63
0.42
0.41
0.33
0.12
-0.02
-0.13
0.51
0.02
PWR
0.85
0.37
0.63
1.00
0.39
0.50
0.34
0.26
0.49
0.04
0.47
0.40
SCCO
0.52
0.63
0.42
0.39
1.00
0.42
0.46
0.46
0.37
0.35
0.59
0.47
CEG
0.51
0.39
0.41
0.50
0.42
1.00
0.34
0.75
0.32
0.21
0.47
0.19
IREN
0.47
0.47
0.33
0.34
0.46
0.34
1.00
0.27
0.28
0.62
0.40
0.35
TLN
0.41
0.42
0.12
0.26
0.46
0.75
0.27
1.00
0.47
0.37
0.51
0.40
GEV
0.60
0.53
-0.02
0.49
0.37
0.32
0.28
0.47
1.00
0.24
0.24
0.72
WULF
0.12
0.43
-0.13
0.04
0.35
0.21
0.62
0.37
0.24
1.00
0.24
0.37
FSLR
0.63
0.55
0.51
0.47
0.59
0.47
0.40
0.51
0.24
0.24
1.00
0.39
VRT
0.56
0.55
0.02
0.40
0.47
0.19
0.35
0.40
0.72
0.37
0.39
1.00

Factor correlation

Nuclear & fuel
Grid & power equipment
Materials
Data-center hardware
AI data-center power
Distributed power & solar
Robotics
Nuclear & fuel
1.00
0.57
0.49
0.52
0.50
0.77
-0.08
Grid & power equipment
0.57
1.00
0.66
0.65
0.26
0.69
0.07
Materials
0.49
0.66
1.00
0.29
0.26
0.56
0.23
Data-center hardware
0.52
0.65
0.29
1.00
0.45
0.61
-0.23
AI data-center power
0.50
0.26
0.26
0.45
1.00
0.40
-0.28
Distributed power & solar
0.77
0.69
0.56
0.61
0.40
1.00
-0.09
Robotics
-0.08
0.07
0.23
-0.23
-0.28
-0.09
1.00

Method. Rolling 60-day pairwise correlations, 30-day annualized volatility. Parametric VaR at 95% confidence (normal assumption). Risk adjustments: inverse-vol * correlation penalty (high vol or high avg correlation with the book lowers the multiplier). Factor correlations use equal-weighted factor returns. History from Yahoo Finance chart API.